Strained Relationship with the Federal Govt and Unemployment are high in the minds of survey participants!*
RESULTS OF THE FIRST PUBLIC POLLS ON TIGRAI ELECTION 2020
We recently conducted an opinion poll primarily targeting Tigrawot. The public poll was developed by NorthStarTribune.com and was conducted online between August 11 and 26, 2020. This is our first poll and hence many caveats, including the obvious in that respondents were those who have accessed and participated in the NorthStarTrbune online survey, and almost exclusively men (a lot of work cut out for us all) and not necessarily a reflection of the general population eligible to vote. Nevertheless, it gives a glimpse of public opinion among those with access to online media. And it shows Tigrai is truly of diverse opinion, at least when it comes to politics.
The following is just a descriptive summary of the opinion poll, and more analysis (for instance response to the choice of party, or priority issue by geography and education) will soon follow. We are providing you with the first and preliminary results. More polls on the debate and other important issues will soon follow. We really appreciate those who participated in the first public opinion and we encourage others to do the same and spread the word wide. We know your time is valuable and we promise to keep the survey nifty and relevant.
A summary of the Tigrai Election 2020 Public Poll I
Tegaru from all corners of the world participated in the public poll. The highest percentage of participants were from Tigrai (32.4%), followed by residents in Addis Ababa (21.5%), North America (18.5%), and Europe (15.2%). There were also participants from Australia (4%), other countries in Africa (2.7%), other parts of Ethiopia (1.8%), and Asia (1.5%). The gender distribution of participants was 91.8% males and 8.2% females. All poll participants were 18 years and above. The overwhelming majority (76.4%) were between and 25 and 44 years old. Regarding the educational level of participants, they were highly educated with 32.0%, 46.3%, and 15.2% having college, masters, and doctoral degrees, respectively.
Participants were asked to pick top three issues facing Tigrai today. The top issues selected by participants were: strained relationship with the federal government (78.3%), lack of good governance in Tigrai (67.7%), no peace no war with Eritrea (60.4%), lack of economic opportunities in Tigrai (48.0%), lack of peace with Amhara state (27.8%), and 8% wrote other issues outside the list provided.
Respondents were asked if they will vote in the upcoming 2020 election in Tigrai. The response was 44.4% yes, 43.8% no, and 11.8% “Don’t know”. These figures reflect the geographic distribution of respondents as participants outside the country won’t vote.
Poll participants were also asked to select the top five important issues the parties or candidates competing in the election should address. The top two issues were unemployment (88.2%) and peace and security (85.7%). The following issues also received more than majority votes: autonomous Tigrai (69.7%), representative government (60.3%), and urban land policy (57.3). The distribution of other pressing matters were: rural land issue (47.3%), women rights (31.5%), and the opening of Tigrai – Addis Ababa roads (12.1%).
When participants were asked whom they plan to vote, only 35.7% indicated they intend to vote for the ruling party, the TPLF. Salsay Woyane (27.1%) and NeTsanet (23.2%) were close second and third. The distribution of the remaining candidates were: Baytona (5.0%), independent candidates (2.7%), Assimba (0.8%), and others (5.4%).
* Valid respondents, n = 332